AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Coppa Italia Aug 18, 2025

Spezia

Home
VS
16:30

Sampdoria

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Spezia Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sampdoria Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Spezia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 01 Spezia vs Cremonese 2-3
May 29 Spezia vs Cremonese 0-0
May 25 Spezia vs Catanzaro 2-1
May 21 Spezia vs Catanzaro 0-2
May 13 Spezia vs Cosenza 3-1
May 09 Spezia vs Cremonese 2-3
May 04 Spezia vs Reggiana … 2-1
May 01 Spezia vs Alianza 2-0
May 01 Spezia vs Salernita… 2-0
Apr 25 Spezia vs Frosinone 2-2
Sampdoria Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Sampdoria vs Juve Stab… 0-0
May 11 Sampdoria vs Sassuolo … 4-2
May 09 Sampdoria vs Salernita… 1-0
May 09 Sampdoria vs Alianza 1-0
May 04 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 2-2
May 03 Sampdoria vs Como Women 1-2
May 01 Sampdoria vs Cremonese 0-0
Apr 27 Sampdoria vs Napoli Wo… 2-1
Apr 25 Sampdoria vs Carrarese 1-0
Apr 12 Sampdoria vs Lazio Wom… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2025 Spezia 2 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Serie B
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Sep 17, 2022 Spezia 2 - 1 Sampdoria Serie A
Jan 23, 2022 Spezia 1 - 0 Sampdoria Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spezia to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spezia Power 30
Sampdoria Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.