AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Sep 20, 2025

Valencia

Home
VS
19:00

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Valencia Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Athletic Club Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.54 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Valencia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Valencia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Valencia vs Barcelona 6-0
Aug 29 Valencia vs Getafe 3-0
Aug 24 Valencia vs Osasuna 1-0
Aug 16 Valencia vs Real Soci… 1-1
Aug 09 Valencia vs Torino 3-0
May 24 Valencia vs Mallorca 0-0
May 23 Valencia vs Real Betis 1-1
May 18 Valencia vs Athletic … 0-1
May 18 Valencia vs Celta 1-2
May 18 Valencia vs Ath Bilbao 0-1
Athletic Club Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Athletic … vs Arsenal 0-2
Sep 13 Athletic … vs Alavés 0-1
Aug 31 Athletic … vs Real Betis 1-2
Aug 25 Athletic … vs Rayo Vall… 1-0
Aug 17 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 3-2
May 25 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 0-3
May 18 Athletic … vs Valencia 0-1
May 15 Athletic … vs Getafe 0-2
May 11 Athletic … vs Alavés 1-0
May 08 Athletic … vs Mancheste… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletic Club in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2025 Valencia 0 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Aug 28, 2024 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Valencia La Liga
Jan 20, 2024 Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Oct 29, 2023 Athletic Club 2 - 2 Valencia La Liga
Feb 11, 2023 Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Club La Liga
Jan 26, 2023 Valencia 1 - 3 Athletic Club Copa del Rey
Aug 21, 2022 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Valencia La Liga
May 07, 2022 Athletic Club 0 - 0 Valencia La Liga
Mar 02, 2022 Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Club Copa del Rey
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Valencia Power 29
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Valencia Position

-5

Position Gap

11

Athletic Club Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.