AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Apr 29, 2025

Bolton

Home
VS
15:00

Wigan

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Wigan Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.27 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5 Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Bolton Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Bolton vs Cambridge… 2-1
Apr 26 Bolton vs Peterboro… 1-1
Apr 26 Bolton vs Gateshead 2-1
Apr 26 Bolton vs Coventry 1-0
Apr 21 Bolton vs Birmingham 1-2
Apr 21 Bolton vs Lincoln 4-2
Apr 21 Bolton vs Solihull … 3-2
Apr 21 Bolton vs Bristol C… 3-1
Apr 18 Bolton vs Exeter Ci… 0-0
Apr 18 Bolton vs Wycombe 0-2
Wigan Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Wigan vs Blackpool 1-1
Apr 21 Wigan vs Rotherham… 1-0
Apr 18 Wigan vs Shrewsbury 0-1
Apr 12 Wigan vs Wrexham 0-0
Apr 08 Wigan vs Exeter Ci… 1-1
Apr 05 Wigan vs Leyton Or… 0-0
Apr 01 Wigan vs Bolton 0-1
Mar 29 Wigan vs Burnley 1-1
Mar 15 Wigan vs Charlton 2-1
Mar 08 Wigan vs Cambridge… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 01, 2025 Wigan 0 - 1 Bolton League One
Jan 21, 2025 Wigan 1 - 2 Bolton League One
Dec 14, 2024 Bolton 0 - 2 Wigan Pro League
Dec 14, 2024 Bolton 0 - 2 Wigan League One
Mar 29, 2024 Wigan 1 - 1 Bolton Pro League
Feb 27, 2024 Wigan 1 - 0 Bolton Pro League
Feb 27, 2024 Wigan 1 - 0 Bolton League One
Aug 19, 2023 Bolton 0 - 4 Wigan League One
Jul 09, 2022 Bolton 0 - 1 Wigan Friendlies Clu…
Apr 02, 2022 Wigan 1 - 1 Bolton League One
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (93% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Bolton Power 39
Wigan Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Bolton Position

+17

Position Gap

20

Wigan Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.