AI Match Insights
Eredivisie Jan 12, 2025
Feyenoord
HomeVS
15:00
Utrecht
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Feyenoord Win
Draw
Utrecht Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.40 - 1.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.8
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Feyenoord Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Utrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
2-2 (5%)
3-0 (4%)
3-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
Under 2.5 Goals
25%
Feyenoord Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22 | Feyenoord vs PSV Eindh… | 3-0 |
| Dec 22 | Feyenoord vs PSV Eindh… | 3-0 |
| Dec 17 | Feyenoord vs MVV Maast… | 1-2 |
| Dec 14 | Feyenoord vs Heracles | 5-2 |
| Dec 14 | Feyenoord vs Heracles | 5-2 |
| Dec 07 | Feyenoord vs Waalwijk | 2-3 |
| Nov 30 | Feyenoord vs Fortuna S… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Feyenoord vs Heerenveen | 3-0 |
| Nov 23 | Feyenoord vs Heerenveen | 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Feyenoord vs Almere Ci… | 1-4 |
Utrecht Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22 | Utrecht vs Fortuna S… | 2-5 |
| Dec 18 | Utrecht vs AFC Amste… | 0-8 |
| Dec 15 | Utrecht vs GO Ahead … | 3-3 |
| Dec 15 | Utrecht vs GO Ahead … | 3-3 |
| Dec 08 | Utrecht vs Almere Ci… | 1-3 |
| Dec 04 | Utrecht vs Ajax | 2-2 |
| Dec 04 | Utrecht vs Ajax | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Utrecht vs PSV Eindh… | 2-5 |
| Dec 01 | Utrecht vs PSV Eindh… | 2-5 |
| Nov 24 | Utrecht vs Nijmegen | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Feyenoord in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | Utrecht | 0 - 2 | Feyenoord | Pro League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Feyenoord | 4 - 2 | Utrecht | Pro League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Feyenoord | 2 - 1 | Utrecht | KNVB Beker |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Feyenoord to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Feyenoord Power
0
Utrecht Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Feyenoord Position+10
Position Gap12
Utrecht Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.