AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Oct 05, 2025

Samsunspor

Home
VS
17:00

Fenerbahce

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Samsunspor Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Fenerbahce Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.59 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Samsunspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Samsunspor Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Samsunspor vs Legia War… 0-1
Sep 27 Samsunspor vs Gazişehir… 2-2
Sep 21 Samsunspor vs Fatih Kar… 3-2
Sep 17 Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa 0-0
Sep 13 Samsunspor vs Antalyasp… 1-2
Aug 31 Samsunspor vs Trabzonsp… 1-1
Aug 28 Samsunspor vs Panathina… 0-0
Aug 21 Samsunspor vs Panathina… 2-1
Aug 16 Samsunspor vs Kocaelisp… 0-1
Aug 09 Samsunspor vs Genclerbi… 2-1
Fenerbahce Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Fenerbahce vs Nice 2-1
Sep 28 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 2-0
Sep 24 Fenerbahce vs Dinamo Za… 3-1
Sep 21 Fenerbahce vs Kasımpaşa 1-1
Sep 17 Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor 2-2
Sep 14 Fenerbahce vs Trabzonsp… 1-0
Aug 31 Fenerbahce vs Genclerbi… 1-3
Aug 27 Fenerbahce vs Benfica 1-0
Aug 23 Fenerbahce vs Kocaelisp… 3-1
Aug 20 Fenerbahce vs Benfica 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Samsunspor SĂĽper Lig
Oct 20, 2024 Samsunspor 2 - 2 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Samsunspor SĂĽper Lig
Aug 21, 2023 Samsunspor 0 - 2 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Samsunspor Power 0
Fenerbahce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Samsunspor Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Fenerbahce Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.