AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Mar 15, 2025

Sligo Rovers

Home
VS
19:45

Derry City

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Sligo Rovers Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Derry City Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 3.46 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.3
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Sligo Rovers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Sligo Rov… vs Cork City 1-1
Mar 03 Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … 2-1
Feb 28 Sligo Rov… vs St Patric… 4-3
Feb 21 Sligo Rov… vs Drogheda … 3-0
Feb 15 Sligo Rov… vs Waterford 2-3
Feb 08 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 4-0
Jan 21 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 2-3
Nov 01 Sligo Rov… vs St Patric… 0-2
Oct 25 Sligo Rov… vs Galaxy 2-2
Oct 19 Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… 0-2
Derry City Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Derry City vs Galaxy 1-1
Mar 07 Derry City vs Bray Wand… 0-1
Mar 03 Derry City vs St Patric… 2-0
Feb 28 Derry City vs Waterford 1-2
Feb 28 Derry City vs Dundalk 0-1
Feb 21 Derry City vs Bohemians… 1-0
Feb 21 Derry City vs Cobh Ramb… 0-0
Feb 14 Derry City vs Shelbourne 3-1
Feb 14 Derry City vs Finn Harps 2-0
Jan 21 Derry City vs Sligo Rov… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sligo Rovers struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Derry City struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2025 Sligo Rovers 2 - 3 Derry City Friendlies Clu…
Oct 14, 2024 Derry City 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Jul 04, 2024 Sligo Rovers 2 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
May 24, 2024 Derry City 2 - 2 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Sligo Rovers 0 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sligo Rovers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sligo Rovers Power 0
Derry City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.