AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Apr 22, 2025

Derry City

Home
VS
18:45

Sligo Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Derry City Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Sligo Rovers Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.45 - 2.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 2.0
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Derry City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Derry City vs Cobh Ramb… 0-2
Apr 18 Derry City vs Galaxy 2-3
Apr 18 Derry City vs Finn Harps 4-2
Apr 11 Derry City vs Drogheda … 1-3
Apr 11 Derry City vs Athlone T… 3-0
Apr 04 Derry City vs Cork City 2-1
Apr 04 Derry City vs Treaty Un… 3-0
Mar 28 Derry City vs Shamrock … 0-0
Mar 28 Derry City vs UCD 0-1
Mar 21 Derry City vs Waterford 1-2
Sligo Rovers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Sligo Rov… vs Waterford 0-4
Apr 12 Sligo Rov… vs Galaxy 1-2
Apr 04 Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… 4-2
Mar 28 Sligo Rov… vs Shelbourne 1-2
Mar 15 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 0-1
Mar 07 Sligo Rov… vs Cork City 1-1
Mar 03 Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … 2-1
Feb 28 Sligo Rov… vs St Patric… 4-3
Feb 21 Sligo Rov… vs Drogheda … 3-0
Feb 15 Sligo Rov… vs Waterford 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derry City struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Sligo Rovers struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 15, 2025 Sligo Rovers 0 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Jan 21, 2025 Sligo Rovers 2 - 3 Derry City Friendlies Clu…
Oct 14, 2024 Derry City 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Jul 04, 2024 Sligo Rovers 2 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
May 24, 2024 Derry City 2 - 2 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Sligo Rovers 0 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Derry City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Derry City Power 0
Sligo Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.