AI Match Insights

Premier Division May 02, 2025

St Patrick's Athl.

Home
VS
18:45

Galaxy

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
St Patrick's Athl. Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Galaxy Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.58 - 1.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St Patrick's Athl. Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Galaxy Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
St Patrick's Athl. Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 St Patric… vs Bohemians… 2-1
Apr 21 St Patric… vs Drogheda … 0-0
Apr 18 St Patric… vs Shamrock … 2-2
Apr 11 St Patric… vs Cork City 0-2
Apr 04 St Patric… vs Shelbourne 0-0
Mar 28 St Patric… vs Waterford 1-2
Mar 14 St Patric… vs Bohemians… 3-0
Mar 07 St Patric… vs Shamrock … 1-0
Mar 03 St Patric… vs Derry City 2-0
Feb 28 St Patric… vs Sligo Rov… 4-3
Galaxy Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Galaxy vs Shelbourne 2-2
Apr 18 Galaxy vs Derry City 2-3
Apr 12 Galaxy vs Sligo Rov… 1-2
Apr 04 Galaxy vs Shamrock … 0-1
Mar 29 Galaxy vs Orapa Uni… 1-1
Mar 28 Galaxy vs Bohemians… 0-2
Mar 14 Galaxy vs Waterford 1-0
Mar 07 Galaxy vs Derry City 1-1
Mar 03 Galaxy vs Shelbourne 1-1
Feb 21 Galaxy vs St Patric… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2025 Galaxy 2 - 1 St Patrick's Athl. Premier Divisi…
Oct 18, 2024 St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 1 Galaxy Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St Patrick's Athl. to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St Patrick's Athl. Power 0
Galaxy Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.