AI Match Insights

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Premier Division May 19, 2025

Shelbourne

Home
VS
18:45

Drogheda United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Shelbourne Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Drogheda United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.70 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.0
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shelbourne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Drogheda United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Shelbourne Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Shelbourne vs Bohemians… 1-0
May 09 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 2-1
May 05 Shelbourne vs Waterford 0-1
May 02 Shelbourne vs Derry City 2-0
Apr 25 Shelbourne vs Shamrock … 2-2
Apr 21 Shelbourne vs Galaxy 2-2
Apr 18 Shelbourne vs Drogheda … 2-2
Apr 11 Shelbourne vs Bohemians… 1-0
Apr 04 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 0-0
Mar 28 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rov… 1-2
Drogheda United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Drogheda … vs Derry City 1-1
May 09 Drogheda … vs Shamrock … 3-0
May 05 Drogheda … vs Cork City 3-2
May 02 Drogheda … vs Sligo Rov… 2-2
Apr 25 Drogheda … vs Galway Un… 2-1
Apr 21 Drogheda … vs St Patric… 0-0
Apr 18 Drogheda … vs Shelbourne 2-2
Apr 11 Drogheda … vs Derry City 1-3
Apr 04 Drogheda … vs Waterford 2-0
Mar 28 Drogheda … vs Cork City 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Shelbourne struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 18, 2025 Drogheda United 2 - 2 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Mar 07, 2025 Shelbourne 0 - 1 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
Feb 07, 2025 Shelbourne 2 - 0 Drogheda United FAI President'…
Oct 25, 2024 Shelbourne 2 - 1 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shelbourne to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shelbourne Power 0
Drogheda United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.