AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division May 23, 2025

Derry City

Home
VS
18:45

Shamrock Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Derry City Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Shamrock Rovers Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.50 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Shamrock Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Derry City Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Derry City vs Drogheda … 1-1
May 16 Derry City vs Waterford 1-1
May 09 Derry City vs Cork City 1-2
May 09 Derry City vs Treaty Un… 1-0
May 05 Derry City vs St Patric… 1-0
May 02 Derry City vs Shelbourne 2-0
May 02 Derry City vs UCD 0-1
Apr 25 Derry City vs Waterford 2-1
Apr 25 Derry City vs Bray Wand… 4-2
Apr 22 Derry City vs Sligo Rov… 3-0
Shamrock Rovers Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Shamrock … vs St Patric… 4-0
May 16 Shamrock … vs Waterford 1-3
May 09 Shamrock … vs Drogheda … 3-0
May 05 Shamrock … vs Sligo Rov… 2-0
May 02 Shamrock … vs Cork City 1-1
Apr 25 Shamrock … vs Shelbourne 2-2
Apr 21 Shamrock … vs Bohemians… 2-3
Apr 18 Shamrock … vs St Patric… 2-2
Apr 14 Shamrock … vs Cork City 4-1
Apr 11 Shamrock … vs Waterford 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derry City in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Shamrock Rovers in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 28, 2025 Shamrock Rovers 0 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Sep 20, 2024 Derry City 1 - 1 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
May 20, 2024 Shamrock Rovers 1 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Apr 19, 2024 Derry City 1 - 3 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Mar 04, 2024 Shamrock Rovers 2 - 2 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Sep 15, 2023 Derry City 1 - 1 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Derry City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Derry City Power 0
Shamrock Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.