Premier Division · Oct 05, 2025 15:00
Derry City
PWR 48
Sligo Rovers
PWR 40
Derry City
PWR 48
1 - 0
FT
Sligo Rovers
PWR 40
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-2 (5%)
3-3 (4%)
3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense61
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.1
Attack42
Defense46
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Derry City Form
DDDDL
STABLE
Sligo Rovers Form
WWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS82%
Under 2.525%
Derry City Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Sligo Rovers Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.52
Derry Cityvs
1.87
Sligo RoversDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Derry City+3
Gap#7
Sligo Rovers
WR 39% 76 pts
WR 32% 65 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 52 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 66 | 58 | 76 |
| Sligo Rovers | 53 | 17 | 14 | 22 | 64 | 82 | 65 |
Derry City
8.0%
| Sep 26 | Derry C… v Droghed… | 1-1 |
| Sep 26 | Derry C… v Treaty … | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Derry C… v Athlone… | 0-0 |
| Sep 19 | Derry C… v Shelbou… | 1-1 |
| Sep 19 | Derry C… v UCD | 2-1 |
| Sep 12 | Derry C… v Bohemia… | 3-4 |
| Sep 12 | Derry C… v Sligo R… | 4-3 |
| Sep 05 | Derry C… v Cobh Ra… | 1-1 |
| Aug 29 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 2-2 |
| Aug 29 | Derry C… v Dundalk | 3-3 |
Sligo Rovers
12.0%
| Sep 27 | Sligo R… v St Patr… | 1-0 |
| Sep 22 | Sligo R… v Galaxy | 0-1 |
| Sep 19 | Sligo R… v Droghed… | 1-1 |
| Sep 12 | Sligo R… v Derry C… | 4-3 |
| Aug 30 | Sligo R… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | Sligo R… v Waterfo… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Sligo R… v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Sligo R… v St Patr… | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Sligo R… v Shelbou… | 0-2 |
| Jul 25 | Sligo R… v Cork Ci… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 12, 2025 | Derry City | 4-3 | Sligo Rovers |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2-0 | Derry City |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Derry City | 3-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 0-1 | Derry City |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2-3 | Derry City |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Derry City | 1-1 | Sligo Rovers |
| Jul 04, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 2-1 | Derry City |
| May 24, 2024 | Derry City | 2-2 | Sligo Rovers |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 0-0 | Derry City |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.