AI Match Insights
Primera División Aug 03, 2025
CS Herediano
HomeVS
02:00
Puntarenas FC
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
CS Herediano Win
Draw
Puntarenas FC Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.64 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CS Herediano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Puntarenas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (12%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
Under 2.5 Goals
73%
CS Herediano Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31 | CS Heredi… vs Real Espa… | 4-2 |
| Jul 25 | CS Heredi… vs Guadalupe… | 0-0 |
| May 15 | CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… | 2-0 |
| May 11 | CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… | 4-0 |
| May 04 | CS Heredi… vs Puntarena… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | CS Heredi… vs Municipal… | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 27 | CS Heredi… vs Perez Zel… | 3-0 |
| Mar 17 | CS Heredi… vs Sporting … | 1-3 |
| Feb 09 | CS Heredi… vs Municipal… | 2-1 |
Puntarenas FC Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | Puntarena… vs Inter San… | 1-2 |
| May 04 | Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… | 1-1 |
| Apr 16 | Puntarena… vs Deportivo… | 1-2 |
| Mar 30 | Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Puntarena… vs Deportivo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 12 | Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… | 3-2 |
| Oct 17 | Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | Puntarena… vs Guadalupe… | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Puntarenas FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 04, 2025 | CS Herediano | 1 - 1 | Puntarenas FC | Primera Divisi… |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Puntarenas FC | 1 - 1 | CS Herediano | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Puntarenas FC | 0 - 2 | CS Herediano | Primera Divisi… |
| Jul 24, 2024 | CS Herediano | 2 - 0 | Puntarenas FC | Primera Divisi… |
| May 09, 2024 | CS Herediano | 3 - 0 | Puntarenas FC | Primera Divisi… |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Puntarenas FC | 0 - 0 | CS Herediano | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 22, 2023 | CS Herediano | 2 - 1 | Puntarenas FC | Primera Divisi… |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Puntarenas FC | 3 - 2 | CS Herediano | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: CS Herediano to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
CS Herediano Power
0
Puntarenas FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
CS Herediano Position+9
Position Gap10
Puntarenas FC Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.