AI Match Insights
Primera Division Jul 26, 2025
Managua FC
HomeVS
02:00
Rancho Santana
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Managua FC Win
Draw
Rancho Santana Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Managua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Rancho Santana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Managua FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22 | Managua FC vs H&H Export | 1-0 |
| Jul 17 | Managua FC vs Jalapa | 4-2 |
| Jul 13 | Managua FC vs Diriangén | 3-0 |
| Jul 09 | Managua FC vs Diriangén | 1-0 |
| May 25 | Managua FC vs Real Este… | 1-1 |
| May 18 | Managua FC vs Real Este… | 2-0 |
| Apr 27 | Managua FC vs Real Este… | 1-2 |
| Apr 27 | Managua FC vs Matagalpa | 1-1 |
| Apr 16 | Managua FC vs Managua FC | 1-3 |
| Apr 06 | Managua FC vs H&H Export | 3-1 |
Rancho Santana Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22 | Rancho Sa… vs Matagalpa | 1-2 |
| Jul 19 | Rancho Sa… vs Diriangén | 6-0 |
| Apr 28 | Rancho Sa… vs Diriangén | 3-0 |
| Apr 03 | Rancho Sa… vs Managua FC | 0-4 |
| Mar 23 | Rancho Sa… vs Matagalpa | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Rancho Sa… vs Jalapa | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Rancho Sa… vs Real Este… | 3-0 |
| Feb 26 | Rancho Sa… vs Matagalpa | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rancho Sa… vs Diriangén | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Rancho Sa… vs Managua FC | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Rancho Santana struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 03, 2025 | Rancho Santana | 0 - 4 | Managua FC | Primera Divisi… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Managua FC | 1 - 0 | Rancho Santana | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Managua FC | 3 - 0 | Rancho Santana | Primera Divisi… |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Rancho Santana | 0 - 3 | Managua FC | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Managua FC to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Managua FC Power
0
Rancho Santana Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Managua FC Position+1
Position Gap4
Rancho Santana Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.