AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Jul 27, 2025

Real Estelí

Home
VS
01:00

Jalapa

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Jalapa Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.93 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Real Estelí Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Real Este… vs UNAN Mana… 1-1
Jul 18 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 2-1
Jul 12 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-4
Jul 10 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-1
May 25 Real Este… vs Managua FC 1-1
May 18 Real Este… vs Managua FC 2-0
May 11 Real Este… vs H&H Export 1-0
May 07 Real Este… vs H&H Export 1-3
Apr 27 Real Este… vs Managua FC 1-2
Apr 13 Real Este… vs H&H Export 1-0
Jalapa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-3
Jul 17 Jalapa vs Managua FC 4-2
Apr 15 Jalapa vs H&H Export 0-0
Apr 12 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-2
Apr 06 Jalapa vs Managua FC 3-1
Mar 29 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-2
Mar 09 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 2-0
Feb 16 Jalapa vs Diriangén 4-1
Feb 12 Jalapa vs Managua FC 0-0
Feb 02 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jalapa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 Jalapa 1 - 2 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Feb 02, 2025 Real Estelí 1 - 2 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Nov 13, 2024 Jalapa 0 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Nov 07, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 1 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Apr 03, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Jan 27, 2024 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Sep 30, 2023 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Aug 05, 2023 Real Estelí 4 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Jalapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Jalapa Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.