AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Feb 19, 2025

Bayelsa United

Home
VS
15:00

Nasarawa United

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Bayelsa United Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Nasarawa United Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.62 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayelsa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Nasarawa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Bayelsa United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 0-0
Dec 01 Bayelsa U… vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Nov 27 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 4-1
Nov 24 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 1-0
Nov 03 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-1
Sep 15 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 1-1
Jun 16 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 2-1
Jun 12 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-1
Mar 17 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 2-1
Mar 09 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 0-1
Nasarawa United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Nasarawa … vs Niger Tor… 2-0
Jan 08 Nasarawa … vs Enyimba 2-1
Nov 10 Nasarawa … vs Kwara Uni… 0-1
Oct 27 Nasarawa … vs Kano Pill… 1-0
Oct 16 Nasarawa … vs Abia Warr… 3-0
Sep 15 Nasarawa … vs Niger Tor… 0-0
Mar 29 Nasarawa … vs Enyimba 1-1
Jan 14 Nasarawa … vs Enyimba 1-2
Jul 10 Nasarawa … vs Kano Pill… 1-0
Jun 18 Nasarawa … vs Niger Tor… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nasarawa United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayelsa United Power 0
Nasarawa United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bayelsa United Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Nasarawa United Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.