AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NWSL Women Aug 16, 2025

Washington Spirit Women

Home
VS
00:00

Racing Louisville Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Washington Spirit Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Racing Louisville Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 4.50 - 3.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 3.6
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Washington Spirit Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Racing Louisville Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Washington Spirit Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Washingto… vs NJ/NY Got… 0-0
Aug 03 Washingto… vs Portland … 2-1
Jun 23 Washingto… vs San Diego… 0-0
Jun 15 Washingto… vs Portland … 2-0
Jun 08 Washingto… vs North Car… 3-1
May 24 Washingto… vs OL Reign 1-2
May 17 Washingto… vs Utah Roya… 3-3
May 10 Washingto… vs Chicago R… 2-3
May 03 Washingto… vs Angel City 3-4
Apr 26 Washingto… vs NJ/NY Got… 0-3
Racing Louisville Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Racing Lo… vs Orlando P… 1-1
Aug 02 Racing Lo… vs Kansas Ci… 0-2
Jun 21 Racing Lo… vs Orlando P… 2-0
Jun 14 Racing Lo… vs Kansas Ci… 4-2
Jun 07 Racing Lo… vs Utah Roya… 3-2
May 25 Racing Lo… vs Angel City 2-3
May 17 Racing Lo… vs OL Reign 0-1
May 10 Racing Lo… vs NJ/NY Got… 1-0
May 03 Racing Lo… vs Houston D… 1-2
Apr 27 Racing Lo… vs Portland … 3-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Racing Louisville W… 0 - 2 Washington Spirit W… NWSL Women
Oct 13, 2024 Washington Spirit W… 4 - 1 Racing Louisville W… NWSL Women
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Washington Spirit Women to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Washington Spirit Women Power 0
Racing Louisville Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.