AI Match Insights

Esiliiga A Sep 13, 2025

Elva

Home
VS
09:30

Nõmme United

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Elva Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Nõmme United Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 0.86 - 2.45
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Nõmme United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 1-3 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Elva Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Elva vs Nõmme Kal… 1-1
Aug 24 Elva vs Tallinna … 0-2
Aug 16 Elva vs FC Tallinn 1-2
Aug 09 Elva vs FCI Levad… 2-0
Aug 04 Elva vs Tartu Wel… 1-2
Jul 26 Elva vs Luunja 2-1
Jul 19 Elva vs Viimsi 0-3
Jul 12 Elva vs Flora II 2-0
Jul 05 Elva vs Tallinna … 5-3
Jun 28 Elva vs Nõmme Uni… 4-1
Nõmme United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Nõmme Uni… vs FC Tallinn 6-0
Aug 23 Nõmme Uni… vs Nõmme Kal… 2-1
Aug 16 Nõmme Uni… vs Luunja 1-3
Aug 11 Nõmme Uni… vs Viimsi 1-1
Aug 02 Nõmme Uni… vs FCI Levad… 0-2
Jul 28 Nõmme Uni… vs Tartu Wel… 1-3
Jul 21 Nõmme Uni… vs Flora II 4-0
Jul 17 Nõmme Uni… vs Flora II 4-1
Jul 12 Nõmme Uni… vs Tallinna … 0-3
Jul 03 Nõmme Uni… vs Nõmme Kal… 1-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nõmme United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 28, 2025 Nõmme United 4 - 1 Elva Esiliiga A
Apr 17, 2025 Elva 0 - 2 Nõmme United Esiliiga A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Elva to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elva Power 0
Nõmme United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.