AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
V.League 1 Oct 04, 2024

Nam Định

Home
VS
11:00

Thanh Hóa

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Nam Định Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Thanh Hóa Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nam Định Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Thanh Hóa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Nam Định Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Nam Định vs Bangkok G… 0-0
Aug 31 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 3-0
Jul 04 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 2-1
May 26 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 2-5
Mar 31 Nam Định vs Ha Noi FC 1-2
Mar 08 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 1-1
Feb 28 Nam Định vs Ha Noi FC 3-2
Jul 16 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 0-2
Jun 24 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 0-0
Oct 22 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 0-1
Thanh Hóa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 3-0
Jul 04 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-1
May 30 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
May 26 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-5
Mar 08 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Mar 02 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-2
Jul 16 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 0-2
Jun 24 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 0-0
Oct 22 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 0-1
Jul 09 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nam Định in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2024 Nam Định 3 - 0 Thanh Hóa Super Cup
Jul 04, 2024 Thanh Hóa 2 - 1 Nam Định Cup
May 26, 2024 Thanh Hóa 2 - 5 Nam Định V.League 1
Mar 08, 2024 Nam Định 1 - 1 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Jul 16, 2023 Thanh Hóa 0 - 2 Nam Định V.League 1
Jun 24, 2023 Nam Định 0 - 0 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Oct 22, 2022 Nam Định 0 - 1 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Jul 09, 2022 Thanh Hóa 1 - 1 Nam Định V.League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nam Định Power 0
Thanh Hóa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Nam Định Position

+3

Position Gap

12

Thanh Hóa Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.