AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
V.League 1 May 11, 2025

Nam Định

Home
VS
11:00

Thanh Hóa

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Nam Định Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Thanh Hóa Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.16 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nam Định Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Thanh Hóa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Nam Định Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Nam Định vs Ha Noi FC 0-3
Feb 05 Nam Định vs Ha Noi FC 2-1
Jan 14 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 1-1
Dec 04 Nam Định vs Bangkok G… 3-2
Oct 02 Nam Định vs Bangkok G… 0-0
Aug 31 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 3-0
Jul 04 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 2-1
May 26 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 2-5
Mar 31 Nam Định vs Ha Noi FC 1-2
Mar 08 Nam Định vs Thanh Hóa 1-1
Thanh Hóa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 2-2
Jan 14 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Oct 26 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
Aug 31 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 3-0
Jul 04 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-1
May 30 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
May 26 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-5
Mar 08 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Mar 02 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-2
Jul 16 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 14, 2025 Thanh Hóa 1 - 1 Nam Định V.League 1
Aug 31, 2024 Nam Định 3 - 0 Thanh Hóa Super Cup
Jul 04, 2024 Thanh Hóa 2 - 1 Nam Định Cup
May 26, 2024 Thanh Hóa 2 - 5 Nam Định V.League 1
Mar 08, 2024 Nam Định 1 - 1 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Jul 16, 2023 Thanh Hóa 0 - 2 Nam Định V.League 1
Jun 24, 2023 Nam Định 0 - 0 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Oct 22, 2022 Nam Định 0 - 1 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Jul 09, 2022 Thanh Hóa 1 - 1 Nam Định V.League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nam Định Power 0
Thanh Hóa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Nam Định Position

+3

Position Gap

12

Thanh Hóa Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.