AI Match Insights

Ýokary Liga Apr 19, 2025

Aşgabat

Home
VS
11:00

Ahal

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Aşgabat Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Ahal Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 0.75 - 1.61
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aşgabat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Ahal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Aşgabat Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Aşgabat vs Balkan 2-1
Mar 30 Aşgabat vs Köpetdag … 2-3
Mar 14 Aşgabat vs Merw 0-0
Mar 10 Aşgabat vs Şagadam 2-3
Mar 05 Aşgabat vs Altyn Asyr 1-0
Nov 23 Aşgabat vs Arkadag 4-1
Oct 03 Aşgabat vs Ahal 1-2
Sep 13 Aşgabat vs Arkadag 0-3
Aug 16 Aşgabat vs Ahal 3-0
May 22 Aşgabat vs Ahal 1-2
Ahal Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Ahal vs Merw 3-0
Apr 03 Ahal vs Şagadam 1-2
Mar 30 Ahal vs Altyn Asyr 0-1
Mar 14 Ahal vs Köpetdag … 4-0
Mar 04 Ahal vs Balkan 2-0
Dec 17 Ahal vs Altyn Asyr 1-0
Oct 30 Ahal vs Merw 0-1
Oct 07 Ahal vs Altyn Asyr 2-0
Oct 03 Ahal vs Aşgabat 1-2
Aug 30 Ahal vs Merw 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ahal in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 03, 2024 Aşgabat 1 - 2 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Aug 16, 2024 Ahal 3 - 0 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
May 22, 2024 Aşgabat 1 - 2 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Apr 17, 2024 Ahal 4 - 0 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
Oct 29, 2023 Ahal 2 - 1 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
Aug 23, 2023 Aşgabat 0 - 4 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aşgabat to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aşgabat Power 0
Ahal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.