AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ýokary Liga Apr 20, 2025

Balkan

Home
VS
12:15

Arkadag

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Balkan Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Arkadag Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.25 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Balkan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Arkadag Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Balkan Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Balkan vs Köpetdag … 0-0
Apr 02 Balkan vs Aşgabat 2-1
Mar 29 Balkan vs Merw 2-0
Mar 14 Balkan vs Şagadam 0-0
Mar 10 Balkan vs Altyn Asyr 1-0
Mar 04 Balkan vs Ahal 2-0
Oct 07 Balkan vs Arkadag 5-1
Oct 04 Balkan vs Köpetdag … 1-2
Aug 27 Balkan vs Arkadag 5-1
Aug 17 Balkan vs Köpetdag … 0-0
Arkadag Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Arkadag vs Merw 7-0
Mar 30 Arkadag vs Şagadam 4-0
Nov 23 Arkadag vs Aşgabat 4-1
Oct 07 Arkadag vs Balkan 5-1
Oct 04 Arkadag vs Şagadam 3-5
Sep 13 Arkadag vs Aşgabat 0-3
Aug 27 Arkadag vs Balkan 5-1
Aug 17 Arkadag vs Şagadam 5-1
May 25 Arkadag vs Şagadam 3-1
May 11 Arkadag vs Aşgabat 7-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arkadag in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 07, 2024 Arkadag 5 - 1 Balkan Ýokary Liga
Aug 27, 2024 Arkadag 5 - 1 Balkan Ýokary Liga
May 04, 2024 Balkan 1 - 4 Arkadag Ýokary Liga
Mar 10, 2024 Arkadag 5 - 0 Balkan Ýokary Liga
Nov 06, 2023 Balkan 0 - 4 Arkadag Ýokary Liga
Aug 23, 2023 Balkan 0 - 2 Arkadag Ýokary Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Balkan to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Balkan Power 0
Arkadag Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.