AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ýokary Liga Jun 22, 2025

Ahal

Home
VS
12:00

Aşgabat

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Ahal Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Aşgabat Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Ahal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aşgabat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Ahal Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 14 Ahal vs Merw 1-3
May 29 Ahal vs Şagadam 1-1
May 18 Ahal vs Altyn Asyr 3-1
May 09 Ahal vs Köpetdag … 0-3
Apr 26 Ahal vs Balkan 0-1
Apr 19 Ahal vs Aşgabat 1-4
Apr 11 Ahal vs Merw 3-0
Apr 03 Ahal vs Şagadam 1-2
Mar 30 Ahal vs Altyn Asyr 0-1
Mar 14 Ahal vs Köpetdag … 4-0
Aşgabat Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 20 Aşgabat vs Arkadag 7-0
Jun 14 Aşgabat vs Arkadag 0-2
May 31 Aşgabat vs Balkan 2-0
May 17 Aşgabat vs Köpetdag … 0-0
May 09 Aşgabat vs Merw 2-0
May 03 Aşgabat vs Şagadam 1-0
Apr 26 Aşgabat vs Altyn Asyr 3-1
Apr 19 Aşgabat vs Ahal 1-4
Apr 02 Aşgabat vs Balkan 2-1
Mar 30 Aşgabat vs Köpetdag … 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ahal in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Aşgabat struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Aşgabat 1 - 4 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Oct 03, 2024 Aşgabat 1 - 2 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Aug 16, 2024 Ahal 3 - 0 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
May 22, 2024 Aşgabat 1 - 2 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Apr 17, 2024 Ahal 4 - 0 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
Oct 29, 2023 Ahal 2 - 1 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
Aug 23, 2023 Aşgabat 0 - 4 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ahal to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ahal Power 0
Aşgabat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.