AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ýokary Liga Oct 04, 2025

Aşgabat

Home
VS
11:00

Ahal

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Aşgabat Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Ahal Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.31 - 2.31
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aşgabat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Ahal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (19%) 0-1 (17%) 0-3 (15%) 0-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Aşgabat Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Aşgabat vs Altyn Asyr 0-5
Sep 22 Aşgabat vs Şagadam 1-0
Sep 13 Aşgabat vs Balkan 1-2
Aug 19 Aşgabat vs Köpetdag … 0-1
Aug 15 Aşgabat vs Merw 1-2
Aug 08 Aşgabat vs Altyn Asyr 2-1
Aug 03 Aşgabat vs Arkadag 4-0
Jun 20 Aşgabat vs Arkadag 7-0
Jun 14 Aşgabat vs Arkadag 0-2
May 31 Aşgabat vs Balkan 2-0
Ahal Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Ahal vs Al Hussein 1-4
Sep 21 Ahal vs Arkadag 1-1
Sep 17 Ahal vs Merw 0-0
Sep 16 Ahal vs ATK Mohun… 0-1
Aug 20 Ahal vs Altyn Asyr 1-0
Aug 13 Ahal vs Regar-Tad… 1-2
Aug 06 Ahal vs Balkan 2-0
Jun 24 Ahal vs Arkadag 0-3
Jun 14 Ahal vs Merw 1-3
May 29 Ahal vs Şagadam 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aşgabat in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Aşgabat 1 - 4 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Oct 03, 2024 Aşgabat 1 - 2 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Aug 16, 2024 Ahal 3 - 0 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
May 22, 2024 Aşgabat 1 - 2 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Apr 17, 2024 Ahal 4 - 0 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
Oct 29, 2023 Ahal 2 - 1 Aşgabat Ýokary Liga
Aug 23, 2023 Aşgabat 0 - 4 Ahal Ýokary Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aşgabat to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aşgabat Power 0
Ahal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.