AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Aug 10, 2025

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Home
VS
22:00

Caracas FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Caracas FC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.70 - 1.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.6
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Estudiantes de Merida FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Caracas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Estudiant… vs Rayo Zuli… 2-1
Jul 23 Estudiant… vs UCV 0-0
Jul 19 Estudiant… vs Monagas SC 1-0
Jul 12 Estudiant… vs Zamora 2-1
Jul 05 Estudiant… vs Carabobo … 2-1
Apr 26 Estudiant… vs Yaracuyan… 2-0
Apr 18 Estudiant… vs Puerto Ca… 1-0
Apr 11 Estudiant… vs Portugues… 4-2
Apr 05 Estudiant… vs Metropoli… 1-2
Mar 28 Estudiant… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Caracas FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Caracas FC vs Deportivo… 1-1
Jul 23 Caracas FC vs Real Espp… 0-3
Jul 19 Caracas FC vs Academia … 0-1
Jul 13 Caracas FC vs Metropoli… 2-3
Jul 06 Caracas FC vs Rayo Zuli… 2-1
Apr 27 Caracas FC vs UCV 1-3
Apr 18 Caracas FC vs Monagas SC 1-4
Apr 13 Caracas FC vs Zamora 3-0
Apr 05 Caracas FC vs Carabobo … 0-1
Mar 27 Caracas FC vs Yaracuyan… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Caracas FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Estudiantes de Merida FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 01, 2025 Caracas FC 0 - 0 Estudiantes de Meri… Primera Divisi…
Aug 15, 2024 Caracas FC 2 - 3 Estudiantes de Meri… Primera Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Estudiantes de Meri… 1 - 1 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Aug 05, 2023 Estudiantes de Meri… 0 - 2 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Apr 09, 2023 Caracas FC 2 - 2 Estudiantes de Meri… Primera Divisi…
Oct 14, 2022 Estudiantes de Meri… 1 - 1 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Oct 07, 2022 Caracas FC 1 - 2 Estudiantes de Meri… Primera Divisi…
Jul 16, 2022 Caracas FC 3 - 1 Estudiantes de Meri… Primera Divisi…
May 07, 2022 Estudiantes de Meri… 0 - 0 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Estudiantes de Merida FC Power 0
Caracas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Estudiantes de Merida FC Position

-1

Position Gap

8

Caracas FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.