AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Sep 14, 2025

Monagas SC

Home
VS
23:30

UCV

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Monagas SC Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
UCV Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.00 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Monagas SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
UCV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Monagas SC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Monagas SC vs Metropoli… 2-0
Aug 23 Monagas SC vs Zamora 2-3
Aug 16 Monagas SC vs Carabobo … 2-0
Aug 11 Monagas SC vs Yaracuyan… 1-1
Aug 06 Monagas SC vs Puerto Ca… 2-3
Aug 03 Monagas SC vs Puerto Ca… 1-1
Jul 29 Monagas SC vs Puerto Ca… 2-0
Jul 25 Monagas SC vs Portugues… 0-1
Jul 19 Monagas SC vs Estudiant… 1-0
Jul 13 Monagas SC vs Deportivo… 2-1
UCV Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 UCV vs Zamora 0-1
Aug 23 UCV vs Carabobo … 4-1
Aug 15 UCV vs Yaracuyan… 1-0
Aug 11 UCV vs Puerto Ca… 2-2
Aug 03 UCV vs Portugues… 2-0
Jul 23 UCV vs Estudiant… 0-0
Jul 19 UCV vs Deportivo… 1-2
Jul 11 UCV vs Real Espp… 1-2
Jul 06 UCV vs Academia … 0-2
Jun 14 UCV vs Deportivo… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monagas SC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 04, 2025 UCV 0 - 0 Monagas SC Primera Divisi…
Aug 14, 2024 Monagas SC 1 - 3 UCV Primera Divisi…
Feb 23, 2024 UCV 1 - 1 Monagas SC Primera Divisi…
Aug 28, 2023 Monagas SC 1 - 0 UCV Primera Divisi…
Mar 12, 2023 UCV 0 - 2 Monagas SC Primera Divisi…
Jul 28, 2022 UCV 0 - 2 Monagas SC Primera Divisi…
Apr 23, 2022 Monagas SC 1 - 0 UCV Primera Divisi…
Sep 16, 2021 Monagas SC 2 - 1 UCV Primera Divisi…
Jul 31, 2021 UCV 3 - 0 Monagas SC Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monagas SC Power 0
UCV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Monagas SC Position

-10

Position Gap

3

UCV Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.