AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Sep 15, 2025

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Home
VS
23:00

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Figueirense Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.84 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Marcílio … vs Barra 0-6
Aug 09 Marcílio … vs Inter De … 2-1
Aug 03 Marcílio … vs Inter De … 0-0
Jul 27 Marcílio … vs São José … 1-1
Mar 29 Marcílio … vs Sertãozin… 2-0
Mar 26 Marcílio … vs União São… 3-0
Mar 22 Marcílio … vs União São… 1-0
Mar 15 Marcílio … vs Rio Branc… 3-3
Mar 05 Marcílio … vs Rio Preto 1-1
Mar 04 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 2-0
Figueirense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Figueiren… vs Dimensão … 3-0
Sep 09 Figueiren… vs Avaí 5-0
Sep 07 Figueiren… vs Cruzeiro … 2-0
Aug 31 Figueiren… vs Jacyobá 4-0
Aug 30 Figueiren… vs Ypiranga-… 1-0
Aug 23 Figueiren… vs Floresta 1-0
Aug 23 Figueiren… vs Zumbi 2-0
Aug 20 Figueiren… vs Agrimaq 3-0
Aug 17 Figueiren… vs São Berna… 0-3
Aug 13 Figueiren… vs Aliança AL 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 MarcĂ­lio Dias 2 - 1 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 16, 2024 Marcílio Dias 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Feb 22, 2024 MarcĂ­lio Dias 2 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 21, 2023 Figueirense 2 - 2 Marcílio Dias Copa Santa Cat…
Feb 09, 2023 Figueirense 2 - 1 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: MarcĂ­lio Dias to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.