Copa Santa Catarina · Sep 24, 2025 23:00

Concórdia
PWR 50
2 - 1
FT

Brusque
PWR 38
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Concórdia to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense65
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense65
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.0
Concórdia Form LLLWL
DOWN
Brusque Form LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.510%
BTTS16%
Under 2.590%
Concórdia Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Brusque Goals
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Concórdia
vs
0.34
Brusque
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Concórdia
+8
Gap
#14
Brusque
WR 46% 17 pts WR 17% 5 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Concórdia11524121117
Brusque6123565
Concórdia 4.0%
Sep 14 Concórd… v Santa C… 4-1
Sep 10 Concórd… v Chapeco… 0-1
Mar 12 Concórd… v Botafogo 4-0
Feb 27 Concórd… v Ponte P… 2-1
Feb 22 Concórd… v Santa C… 3-0
Feb 16 Concórd… v Brusque 1-4
Jan 29 Concórd… v Figueir… 4-1
Jan 26 Concórd… v Chapeco… 2-1
Jan 19 Concórd… v Criciúma 2-0
Jan 15 Concórd… v Barra 0-0
Brusque 2.0%
Sep 21 Brusque v Guaraní… 1-0
Sep 17 Brusque v Chapeco… 0-0
Sep 14 Brusque v Ponte P… 1-0
Sep 09 Brusque v Santa C… 1-2
Sep 07 Brusque v Nautico… 0-1
Aug 30 Brusque v CSA 2-0
Aug 23 Brusque v Caxias 0-1
Aug 17 Brusque v Londrina 1-2
Aug 10 Brusque v Anápolis 2-1
Aug 04 Brusque v AO Itab… 0-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Feb 16, 2025 Concórdia 1-4 Brusque
Feb 07, 2024 Concórdia 1-1 Brusque
Mar 22, 2023 Brusque 2-0 Concórdia
Mar 19, 2023 Concórdia 0-0 Brusque
Feb 08, 2023 Brusque 0-0 Concórdia
Mar 27, 2022 Brusque 1-0 Concórdia
Mar 23, 2022 Concórdia 0-1 Brusque
Jan 22, 2022 Concórdia 0-0 Brusque
Key Factors
Concórdia struggling (4L in last 5)
Brusque struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.