AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Sep 01, 2025

CD Motagua

Home
VS
01:30

Real Espana

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
CD Motagua Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Real Espana Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.54 - 1.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.4
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Real Espana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
CD Motagua Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 CD Motagua vs Deportivo… 0-0
Aug 23 CD Motagua vs Victoria 0-1
Aug 18 CD Motagua vs CD Marath… 3-3
Aug 15 CD Motagua vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Aug 10 CD Motagua vs Olancho 3-1
Aug 06 CD Motagua vs Independi… 2-1
Aug 02 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 0-2
Jul 30 CD Motagua vs Verdes 1-4
Jul 26 CD Motagua vs Génesis 2-1
May 17 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 2-0
Real Espana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Real Espa… vs Sporting … 4-0
Aug 25 Real Espa… vs Juticalpa 0-2
Aug 21 Real Espa… vs Diriangén 1-0
Aug 17 Real Espa… vs CD Olimpia 0-0
Aug 14 Real Espa… vs Municipal 2-1
Aug 09 Real Espa… vs Atlético … 0-3
Aug 03 Real Espa… vs CD Marath… 1-0
Jul 31 Real Espa… vs CS Heredi… 4-2
Jul 26 Real Espa… vs Platense … 2-1
Jul 23 Real Espa… vs Olancho 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Real Espana 2 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
May 15, 2025 CD Motagua 1 - 0 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Apr 27, 2025 CD Motagua 1 - 1 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Feb 23, 2025 Real Espana 2 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Dec 15, 2024 CD Motagua 1 - 0 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Dec 13, 2024 Real Espana 0 - 2 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Oct 06, 2024 CD Motagua 0 - 4 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2024 Real Espana 1 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Apr 11, 2024 CD Motagua 1 - 1 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CD Motagua to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CD Motagua Power 0
Real Espana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

CD Motagua Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Real Espana Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.