AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Sep 10, 2025
Lobos Upnfm
HomeVS
21:00
Olancho
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Lobos Upnfm Win
Draw
Olancho Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 45%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.36 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Lobos Upnfm Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa | 0-2 |
| Aug 16 | Lobos Upn… vs Victoria | 2-0 |
| Aug 10 | Lobos Upn… vs Platense … | 4-1 |
| Aug 04 | Lobos Upn… vs Atlético … | 2-2 |
| Jul 27 | Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia | 2-0 |
| Jul 23 | Lobos Upn… vs Génesis | 2-1 |
| May 04 | Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… | 0-0 |
| Apr 28 | Lobos Upn… vs Olancho | 3-2 |
| Apr 13 | Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… | 2-1 |
| Apr 08 | Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua | 2-1 |
Olancho Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | Olancho vs CD Marath… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Olancho vs Génesis | 1-3 |
| Aug 10 | Olancho vs CD Motagua | 3-1 |
| Aug 02 | Olancho vs Juticalpa | 1-1 |
| Jul 27 | Olancho vs Victoria | 3-0 |
| Jul 23 | Olancho vs Real Espa… | 4-1 |
| May 04 | Olancho vs Real Espa… | 1-0 |
| Apr 28 | Olancho vs Lobos Upn… | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | Olancho vs CD Marath… | 0-1 |
| Apr 03 | Olancho vs CD Olimpia | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Olancho in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2025 | Olancho | 3 - 2 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 1 - 1 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Olancho | 4 - 0 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 1 - 0 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 0 - 1 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Olancho | 0 - 0 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Lobos Upnfm | 2 - 2 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Olancho | 2 - 1 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Lobos Upnfm Power
0
Olancho Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.