AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Sep 10, 2025

Lobos Upnfm

Home
VS
21:00

Olancho

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Lobos Upnfm Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Olancho Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.36 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Lobos Upnfm Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa 0-2
Aug 16 Lobos Upn… vs Victoria 2-0
Aug 10 Lobos Upn… vs Platense … 4-1
Aug 04 Lobos Upn… vs Atlético … 2-2
Jul 27 Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia 2-0
Jul 23 Lobos Upn… vs Génesis 2-1
May 04 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 0-0
Apr 28 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 3-2
Apr 13 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 2-1
Apr 08 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 2-1
Olancho Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Olancho vs CD Marath… 1-1
Aug 16 Olancho vs Génesis 1-3
Aug 10 Olancho vs CD Motagua 3-1
Aug 02 Olancho vs Juticalpa 1-1
Jul 27 Olancho vs Victoria 3-0
Jul 23 Olancho vs Real Espa… 4-1
May 04 Olancho vs Real Espa… 1-0
Apr 28 Olancho vs Lobos Upn… 3-2
Apr 12 Olancho vs CD Marath… 0-1
Apr 03 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Olancho in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 28, 2025 Olancho 3 - 2 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Feb 22, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 1 - 1 Olancho Liga Nacional
Oct 05, 2024 Olancho 4 - 0 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 1 - 0 Olancho Liga Nacional
Apr 06, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 0 - 1 Olancho Liga Nacional
Feb 10, 2024 Olancho 0 - 0 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Nov 11, 2023 Lobos Upnfm 2 - 2 Olancho Liga Nacional
Sep 17, 2023 Olancho 2 - 1 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lobos Upnfm Power 0
Olancho Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.