First League · Sep 18, 2025 14:30

Arda Kardzhali
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

CSKA Sofia
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Arda Kardzhali Form LDLLL
STABLE
CSKA Sofia Form WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS53%
Under 2.545%
Arda Kardzh… Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CSKA Sofia Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Arda Kardzhali
vs
0.93
CSKA Sofia
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Arda Kardzh…
-5
Gap
#5
CSKA Sofia
WR 20% 24 pts WR 30% 34 pts
Arda Kardzhali 2.0%
Sep 13 Arda Ka… v Spartak… 3-0
Aug 31 Arda Ka… v Beroe 2-2
Aug 28 Arda Ka… v Raków C… 1-2
Aug 25 Arda Ka… v Slavia … 2-0
Aug 21 Arda Ka… v Raków C… 1-0
Aug 14 Arda Ka… v Kauno Ž… 2-0
Aug 11 Arda Ka… v Lokomot… 0-0
Aug 07 Arda Ka… v Kauno Ž… 0-1
Aug 04 Arda Ka… v Botev P… 0-5
Jul 31 Arda Ka… v HJK Hel… 2-2
CSKA Sofia 6.0%
Sep 13 CSKA So… v Septemv… 3-1
Aug 30 CSKA So… v Slavia … 2-2
Aug 28 CSKA So… v AZ Alkm… 4-1
Aug 24 CSKA So… v CSKA 19… 0-1
Aug 21 CSKA So… v AZ Alkm… 0-2
Aug 14 CSKA So… v Sabah FA 0-2
Aug 09 CSKA So… v Cherno … 0-0
Aug 07 CSKA So… v Sabah FA 1-0
Aug 02 CSKA So… v Lokomot… 1-0
Jul 26 CSKA So… v Spartak… 1-1
Head-to-Head (9)
May 31, 2025 Arda Kardzhali 1-1 CSKA Sofia
Feb 26, 2025 CSKA Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali
Feb 16, 2025 CSKA Sofia 2-0 Arda Kardzhali
Aug 24, 2024 Arda Kardzhali 2-1 CSKA Sofia
Apr 21, 2024 Arda Kardzhali 2-3 CSKA Sofia
Feb 28, 2024 CSKA Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali
Oct 27, 2023 CSKA Sofia 0-0 Arda Kardzhali
Oct 28, 2022 Arda Kardzhali 1-3 CSKA Sofia
Jul 10, 2022 CSKA Sofia 3-0 Arda Kardzhali
Key Factors
Arda Kardzhali struggling (4L in last 5)
CSKA Sofia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.