Predictions Match Details
La Liga · Apr 27, 2025 15:00

Villarreal
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT

Espanyol
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (21%) 0-2 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense67
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Villarreal Form LDWDW
STABLE
Espanyol Form DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS28%
Under 2.567%
Villarreal Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Espanyol Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Villarreal
vs
1.61
Espanyol
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings63%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Villarreal
+2
Gap
#6
Espanyol
WR 73% 42 pts WR 40% 34 pts
Villarreal 12.0%
Apr 23 Villarr… v Celta 3-0
Apr 20 Villarr… v Real So… 2-2
Apr 13 Villarr… v Real Be… 1-2
Apr 06 Villarr… v Ath Bil… 0-0
Mar 30 Villarr… v Getafe 1-2
Mar 15 Villarr… v Real Ma… 1-2
Mar 08 Villarr… v Alavés 1-0
Feb 22 Villarr… v Valencia 0-1
Feb 15 Villarr… v Valencia 1-1
Feb 08 Villarr… v Las Pal… 1-2
Espanyol 18.0%
Apr 22 Espanyol v Valencia 1-1
Apr 18 Espanyol v Getafe 1-0
Apr 12 Espanyol v Celta d… 0-2
Apr 12 Espanyol v Celta 0-2
Apr 04 Espanyol v Rayo Va… 0-4
Apr 04 Espanyol v Valencia 0-4
Mar 29 Espanyol v Real Ma… 1-1
Mar 15 Espanyol v Mallorca 2-1
Mar 10 Espanyol v Girona 1-1
Feb 22 Espanyol v Alavés 0-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Sep 26, 2024 Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
Jan 20, 2024 Espanyol 2-1 Villarreal
Key Factors
Espanyol in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.