La Liga · Mar 16, 2025 15:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Real Madrid
PWR 49
2 - 4
FT
FC Barcelona
PWR 78
PWR 78
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Attack85
Defense70
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G0.9
Real Madrid Form
WLLWW
STABLE
FC Barcelona Form
WLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS45%
Under 2.559%
Real Madrid Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
FC Barcelona Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Real Madridvs
0.91
FC BarcelonaDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Real Madrid+3
Gap#4
FC Barcelona
WR 64% 287 pts
WR 80% 188 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 134 | 86 | 29 | 19 | 268 | 123 | 287 |
| FC Barcelona | 75 | 60 | 8 | 7 | 183 | 64 | 188 |
Real Madrid
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Real Ma… v Villarr… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Real Ma… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Real Ma… v Getafe | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Real Ma… v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Real Ma… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Real Ma… v Ath Bil… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Real Ma… v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Real Ma… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real Ma… v Girona | 2-0 |
FC Barcelona
16.0%
| Mar 11 | FC Barc… v Benfica | 3-1 |
| Mar 09 | FC Barc… v Indepen… | 0-4 |
| Mar 05 | FC Barc… v Benfica | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | FC Barc… v Real So… | 4-0 |
| Mar 02 | FC Barc… v Liberta… | 1-4 |
| Feb 25 | FC Barc… v Atlétic… | 4-4 |
| Feb 23 | FC Barc… v Mushuc … | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC Barc… v Las Pal… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | FC Barc… v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | FC Barc… v Manta | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 12, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-5 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 21, 2024 | FC Barcelona | 1-2 | Real Madrid |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Real Madrid | 0-4 | FC Barcelona |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Real Madrid | 3-2 | FC Barcelona |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Real Madrid | 0-3 | FC Barcelona |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Real Madrid | 4-1 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 03, 2023 | FC Barcelona | 1-0 | Real Madrid |
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.