AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Feb 09, 2025

Alavés

Home
VS
15:00

Getafe

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Alavés Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Getafe Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.17 - 0.74
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alavés Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Getafe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Alavés Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Alavés vs FC Barcel… 1-0
Jan 27 Alavés vs Celta 1-1
Jan 27 Alavés vs Celta de … 1-1
Jan 18 Alavés vs Real Betis 1-3
Jan 11 Alavés vs Girona 0-1
Dec 22 Alavés vs Valencia 2-2
Dec 15 Alavés vs Ath Bilbao 1-1
Dec 08 Alavés vs Osasuna 2-2
Dec 08 Alavés vs Osasuna 2-2
Nov 30 Alavés vs Levante 1-1
Getafe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Getafe vs Atlético … 5-0
Feb 01 Getafe vs Sevilla FC 0-0
Jan 26 Getafe vs Real Soci… 0-3
Jan 18 Getafe vs FC Barcel… 1-1
Jan 12 Getafe vs Las Palmas 1-2
Jan 03 Getafe vs Granada 0-1
Dec 21 Getafe vs Mallorca 0-1
Dec 21 Getafe vs Mallorca 0-1
Dec 15 Getafe vs Real Madr… 1-0
Dec 09 Getafe vs Espanyol 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 28, 2024 Getafe 2 - 0 Alavés Pro League
May 18, 2024 Alavés 1 - 0 Getafe Pro League
May 18, 2024 Alavés 1 - 0 Getafe La Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: Alavés to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alavés Power 32
Getafe Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Alavés Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Getafe Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.