AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Oct 01, 2025

Police

Home
VS
13:00

Ulinzi Stars

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Police Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Ulinzi Stars Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 0.79
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Ulinzi Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Police Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Police vs Mogadishu… 0-2
Sep 24 Police vs Zbrojovka… 2-1
Sep 20 Police vs Mogadishu… 1-3
Sep 14 Police vs Portmore … 0-1
Sep 08 Police vs Tivoli Ga… 2-1
Aug 31 Police vs Dunbehold… 0-1
Jun 22 Police vs Gor Mahia 1-1
May 25 Police vs Mara Sugar 1-1
May 25 Police vs Pardubice 3-0
May 17 Police vs České Bud… 0-3
Ulinzi Stars Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Ulinzi St… vs Kariobang… 0-0
Sep 21 Ulinzi St… vs Murang'a … 0-1
Jun 22 Ulinzi St… vs Shabana 1-1
May 17 Ulinzi St… vs Mathare U… 1-0
May 14 Ulinzi St… vs Posta Ran… 1-1
May 01 Ulinzi St… vs Murang'a … 3-2
Apr 23 Ulinzi St… vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Apr 04 Ulinzi St… vs Sofapaka 0-1
Mar 15 Ulinzi St… vs KCB 1-2
Feb 19 Ulinzi St… vs Kariobang… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Police struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Police to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Police Power 0
Ulinzi Stars Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Police Position

+10

Position Gap

15

Ulinzi Stars Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.