AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Oct 26, 2025

Shabana

Home
VS
11:00

Mathare United

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Shabana Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Mathare United Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.50 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shabana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Mathare United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Shabana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Shabana vs Posta Ran… 1-2
Oct 05 Shabana vs Tusker 1-1
Sep 28 Shabana vs Bandari 0-1
Sep 21 Shabana vs APS Bomet 4-2
Jun 22 Shabana vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
May 18 Shabana vs Mara Sugar 0-1
May 14 Shabana vs Bidco Uni… 2-1
May 09 Shabana vs KCB 0-1
May 04 Shabana vs Gor Mahia 0-1
Apr 13 Shabana vs Homeboyz 1-0
Mathare United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Mathare U… vs Naivas 3-1
Oct 12 Mathare U… vs MCF 0-3
Oct 05 Mathare U… vs Kariobang… 1-2
Oct 04 Mathare U… vs Nzoia Sug… 2-2
Oct 01 Mathare U… vs Tusker 0-0
Sep 28 Mathare U… vs Migori Yo… 1-0
Sep 26 Mathare U… vs KCB 0-1
Sep 22 Mathare U… vs Posta Ran… 1-2
Sep 20 Mathare U… vs Nzoia Sug… 0-0
Jun 15 Mathare U… vs Bandari 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mathare United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shabana to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shabana Power 0
Mathare United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Shabana Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Mathare United Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.