Virsliga · Aug 23, 2025 14:00
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 44
Metta / LU
PWR 30
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 44
4 - 2
FT
Metta / LU
PWR 30
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: BFC Daugavpils to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Attack38
Defense28
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.1
BFC Daugavpils Form
LDWWD
STABLE
Metta / LU Form
DWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS65%
Under 2.537%
BFC Daugavp… Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Metta / LU Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
BFC Daugavpilsvs
1.62
Metta / LUDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
BFC Daugavp…+5
Gap#9
Metta / LU
WR 38% 55 pts
WR 23% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 60 | 66 | 55 |
| Metta / LU | 40 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 43 | 82 | 35 |
BFC Daugavpils
12.0%
| Aug 09 | BFC Dau… v FK Liep… | 2-1 |
| Aug 02 | BFC Dau… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Jul 27 | BFC Dau… v FS Jelg… | 2-0 |
| Jul 20 | BFC Dau… v Auda | 1-3 |
| Jul 06 | BFC Dau… v Riga FC | 1-1 |
| Jun 30 | BFC Dau… v Rīgas FS | 1-7 |
| Jun 26 | BFC Dau… v Grobiņa | 3-2 |
| Jun 21 | BFC Dau… v Tukums | 1-2 |
| Jun 17 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 2-2 |
| Jun 13 | BFC Dau… v FK Liep… | 1-1 |
Metta / LU
10.0%
| Aug 09 | Metta /… v FS Jelg… | 2-2 |
| Aug 03 | Metta /… v Auda | 0-1 |
| Jul 27 | Metta /… v Riga FC | 3-2 |
| Jul 19 | Metta /… v Rīgas FS | 0-4 |
| Jul 06 | Metta /… v Grobiņa | 0-1 |
| Jul 02 | Metta /… v Tukums | 0-3 |
| Jun 27 | Metta /… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Jun 21 | Metta /… v FK Liep… | 1-0 |
| Jun 17 | Metta /… v BFC Dau… | 2-2 |
| Jun 13 | Metta /… v FS Jelg… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jun 17, 2025 | Metta / LU | 2-2 | BFC Daugavpils |
| Apr 25, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils | 2-0 | Metta / LU |
| Sep 27, 2024 | BFC Daugavpils | 1-1 | Metta / LU |
| Jul 07, 2024 | Metta / LU | 3-2 | BFC Daugavpils |
| May 16, 2024 | BFC Daugavpils | 4-0 | Metta / LU |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Metta / LU | 0-1 | BFC Daugavpils |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.