Ligue 1 · Sep 21, 2025 15:15
Auxerre
PWR 27
Toulouse
PWR 39
Auxerre
PWR 27
1 - 0
FT
Toulouse
PWR 39
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (17%)
0-1 (16%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack21
Defense57
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.5
Attack47
Defense66
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Auxerre Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Toulouse Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS34%
Under 2.574%
Auxerre Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Toulouse Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Auxerrevs
0.93
ToulouseDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Auxerre-9
Gap#8
Toulouse
WR 30% 13 pts
WR 44% 30 pts
Auxerre
4.0%
| Sep 13 | Auxerre v Monaco | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | Auxerre v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Auxerre v Nice | 3-1 |
| Aug 17 | Auxerre v Lorient | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Auxerre v Levante | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Auxerre v Paris FC | 3-1 |
| May 17 | Auxerre v Paris S… | 3-1 |
| May 10 | Auxerre v Nantes | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Auxerre v LE Havr… | 1-2 |
| Apr 27 | Auxerre v Lens | 0-4 |
Toulouse
10.0%
| Sep 14 | Toulouse v Lille | 2-1 |
| Aug 30 | Toulouse v Paris S… | 3-6 |
| Aug 24 | Toulouse v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Aug 16 | Toulouse v Nice | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Toulouse v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| May 17 | Toulouse v St Etie… | 2-3 |
| May 10 | Toulouse v Lens | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Toulouse v Rennes … | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Toulouse v Nantes | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | Toulouse v Reims | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 09, 2025 | Auxerre | 2-2 | Toulouse |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-0 | Auxerre |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-0 | Auxerre |
| May 27, 2023 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Auxerre |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Auxerre | 0-5 | Toulouse |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Auxerre | 1-2 | Toulouse |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Toulouse | 6-0 | Auxerre |
| Feb 02, 2021 | Auxerre | 3-1 | Toulouse |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Toulouse | 3-1 | Auxerre |
Key Factors
Auxerre struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.