AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Sep 14, 2025

AC Milan

Home
VS
18:45

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
AC Milan Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Bologna Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 2.75 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.4 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
AC Milan Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 AC Milan vs Lecce 0-2
Aug 23 AC Milan vs Cremonese 1-2
Aug 17 AC Milan vs Bari 2-0
Aug 10 AC Milan vs Chelsea 4-1
Aug 09 AC Milan vs Leeds 1-1
May 24 AC Milan vs Monza 2-0
May 18 AC Milan vs AS Roma 3-1
May 14 AC Milan vs Bologna 0-1
May 09 AC Milan vs Bologna 3-1
May 05 AC Milan vs Genoa 1-2
Bologna Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Bologna vs Como 1-0
Aug 23 Bologna vs AS Roma 1-0
Aug 09 Bologna vs VfB Stutt… 0-1
May 24 Bologna vs Genoa 1-3
May 18 Bologna vs Fiorentina 3-2
May 14 Bologna vs AC Milan 0-1
May 09 Bologna vs AC Milan 3-1
May 04 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Apr 28 Bologna vs Udinese 0-0
Apr 24 Bologna vs Empoli 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bologna struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 14, 2025 Bologna 0 - 1 AC Milan Coppa Italia
May 09, 2025 AC Milan 3 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 27, 2025 Bologna 2 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Jan 27, 2024 AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Jan 27, 2024 AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Aug 21, 2023 Bologna 0 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Apr 15, 2023 Bologna 1 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Aug 27, 2022 AC Milan 2 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Apr 04, 2022 AC Milan 0 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 23, 2021 Bologna 2 - 4 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: AC Milan to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AC Milan Power 45
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AC Milan Position

+8

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.