Serie A · Oct 05, 2025 16:00
Napoli
PWR 40
Genoa
PWR 32
Napoli
PWR 40
2 - 1
FT
Genoa
PWR 32
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Napoli Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 11 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (11 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Napoli Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Genoa Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS70%
Under 2.528%
Napoli Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Genoa Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
Napolivs
1.29
GenoaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Napoli+11
Gap#14
Genoa
WR 73% 46 pts
WR 18% 23 pts
Napoli
12.0%
| Oct 01 | Napoli v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Napoli v AC Milan | 2-1 |
| Sep 22 | Napoli v Pisa | 3-2 |
| Sep 18 | Napoli v Manches… | 2-0 |
| Sep 13 | Napoli v Fiorent… | 1-3 |
| Aug 30 | Napoli v Cagliari | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Napoli v Sassuolo | 0-2 |
| Aug 14 | Napoli v Olympia… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Napoli v Girona | 3-2 |
| May 23 | Napoli v Cagliari | 2-0 |
Genoa
6.0%
| Sep 29 | Genoa v Lazio | 0-3 |
| Sep 25 | Genoa v Empoli | 3-1 |
| Sep 20 | Genoa v Bologna | 2-1 |
| Sep 15 | Genoa v Como | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Genoa v Juventus | 0-1 |
| Aug 23 | Genoa v Lecce | 0-0 |
| Aug 09 | Genoa v Rennes … | 2-2 |
| May 24 | Genoa v Bologna | 1-3 |
| May 17 | Genoa v Atalanta | 2-3 |
| May 11 | Genoa v Napoli | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 11, 2025 | Napoli | 2-2 | Genoa |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Napoli | 1-1 | Genoa |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Napoli | 1-1 | Genoa |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Genoa | 2-2 | Napoli |
| May 15, 2022 | Napoli | 3-0 | Genoa |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Genoa | 2-1 | Napoli |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napoli | 6-0 | Genoa |
Key Factors
Napoli in strong form (3W in last 5)
Genoa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.