Primeira Liga · Aug 29, 2025 19:15
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 35
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Moreirense
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Moreirense to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
0-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
GIL Vicente Form
DLWWD
STABLE
Moreirense Form
WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS33%
Under 2.570%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Moreirense Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
GIL Vicentevs
0.58
MoreirenseDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings63%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
GIL Vicente+2
Gap#6
Moreirense
WR 60% 37 pts
WR 27% 30 pts
GIL Vicente
12.0%
| Aug 24 | GIL Vicā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 18 | GIL Vicā¦ v FC Porto | 0-2 |
| Aug 09 | GIL Vicā¦ v Nacional | 0-2 |
| Aug 02 | GIL Vicā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 3-1 |
| May 16 | GIL Vicā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 1-1 |
| May 10 | GIL Vicā¦ v Arouca | 1-1 |
| May 04 | GIL Vicā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 2-1 |
| May 04 | GIL Vicā¦ v Sp Lisbā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 26 | GIL Vicā¦ v Farense | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | GIL Vicā¦ v Nacional | 0-3 |
Moreirense
12.0%
| Aug 23 | Moreireā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Moreireā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Moreireā¦ v Alverca | 2-1 |
| Aug 02 | Moreireā¦ v AcadĆ©miā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jul 23 | Moreireā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jul 16 | Moreireā¦ v SC Braga | 2-0 |
| May 17 | Moreireā¦ v AVS | 0-3 |
| May 17 | Moreireā¦ v Felgueiā¦ | 2-1 |
| May 15 | Moreireā¦ v Mafra | 2-0 |
| May 11 | Moreireā¦ v Estoril | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 06, 2025 | GIL Vicente | 0-1 | Moreirense |
| Jan 12, 2025 | GIL Vicente | 1-0 | Moreirense |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Moreirense | 3-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Moreirense | 3-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Apr 08, 2022 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Moreirense | 2-2 | GIL Vicente |
Key Factors
Moreirense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.