Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Aug 30, 2025 17:00

Guimaraes
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Arouca
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guimaraes Form LWLWL
STABLE
Arouca Form DLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS45%
Under 2.541%
Guimaraes Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Arouca Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Guimaraes
vs
0.61
Arouca
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Guimaraes
+3
Gap
#12
Arouca
WR 46% 28 pts WR 30% 23 pts
Guimaraes 8.0%
Aug 23 Guimara… v Moreire… 2-0
Aug 16 Guimara… v Estoril 3-2
Aug 11 Guimara… v FC Porto 3-0
Jul 16 Guimara… v Ponferr… 10-0
May 17 Guimara… v Sportin… 2-0
May 17 Guimara… v Sp Lisb… 2-0
May 11 Guimara… v Farense 1-2
May 03 Guimara… v Nacional 1-2
Apr 27 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 3-0
Apr 19 Guimara… v Benfica 0-3
Arouca 12.0%
Aug 23 Arouca v Rio Ave… 3-3
Aug 17 Arouca v Sportin… 6-0
Aug 09 Arouca v AVS 3-1
May 17 Arouca v Boavista 4-1
May 10 Arouca v GIL Vic… 1-1
May 04 Arouca v Casa Pi… 0-0
Apr 26 Arouca v Santa C… 2-0
Apr 19 Arouca v Estrela… 1-0
Apr 13 Arouca v Benfica 2-2
Apr 05 Arouca v Famalic… 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 18, 2025 Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca
Aug 12, 2024 Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes
Aug 12, 2024 Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Mar 11, 2023 Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1-3 Arouca
Key Factors
Guimaraes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.