AI Match Insights

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Liga Profesional Argentina Apr 20, 2025

Sarmiento de Junín

Home
VS
21:00

Platense

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Sarmiento de Junín Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Platense Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.42 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Sarmiento de Junín Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Platense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Sarmiento de Junín Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Sarmiento… vs Bartolomé… 1-0
Apr 15 Sarmiento… vs Vélez Sar… 0-1
Apr 13 Sarmiento… vs Boca Juni… 2-1
Apr 10 Sarmiento… vs Talleres … 0-1
Apr 06 Sarmiento… vs San Martí… 1-0
Apr 05 Sarmiento… vs River Pla… 1-1
Mar 30 Sarmiento… vs Gimnasia … 0-0
Mar 30 Sarmiento… vs Sarmiento… 1-3
Mar 23 Sarmiento… vs Crucero d… 4-1
Mar 16 Sarmiento… vs Talleres … 0-0
Platense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Platense vs Rosario C… 0-0
Apr 13 Platense vs Estudiant… 1-0
Apr 07 Platense vs Deportivo… 1-0
Apr 05 Platense vs Ciudad de… 2-0
Mar 30 Platense vs Huracan L… 1-2
Mar 29 Platense vs Atlético … 2-1
Mar 23 Platense vs Argentino… 3-0
Mar 18 Platense vs San Martí… 0-2
Mar 15 Platense vs San Martí… 0-1
Mar 09 Platense vs Lanús 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sarmiento de Junín in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Platense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 27, 2024 Sarmiento de Junín 1 - 0 Platense Liga Profesion…
Apr 14, 2024 Sarmiento de Junín 0 - 1 Platense Copa de la Lig…
Nov 25, 2023 Platense 1 - 0 Sarmiento de Junín Copa de la Lig…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sarmiento de Junín to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sarmiento de Junín Power 0
Platense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

29

Sarmiento de Junín Position

-12

Position Gap

17

Platense Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.