Primera A · Oct 17, 2025 23:30
Union Magdalena
PWR 36
Envigado
PWR 36
Union Magdalena
PWR 36
3 - 1
FT
Envigado
PWR 36
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Union Magdalena to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack28
Defense59
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.2
Union Magdalena Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Envigado Form
WWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS48%
Under 2.546%
Union Magda… Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Envigado Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Union Magdalenavs
0.80
EnvigadoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Union Magda…-1
Gap#18
Envigado
WR 27% 26 pts
WR 21% 30 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Magdalena | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 26 |
| Envigado | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 40 | 30 |
Union Magdalena
6.0%
| Oct 12 | Union M… v Bucaram… | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Union M… v Rionegr… | 3-2 |
| Sep 27 | Union M… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | Union M… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Sep 14 | Union M… v Santa Fe | 2-0 |
| Sep 06 | Union M… v Junior | 3-1 |
| Aug 30 | Union M… v Chico | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Union M… v Alianza… | 2-3 |
| Aug 21 | Union M… v Millona… | 1-2 |
| Aug 14 | Union M… v Deporti… | 3-1 |
Envigado
12.0%
| Oct 11 | Envigado v Deporte… | 1-2 |
| Oct 07 | Envigado v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Envigado v Bucaram… | 1-2 |
| Sep 28 | Envigado v America… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Envigado v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Envigado v Millona… | 0-0 |
| Sep 13 | Envigado v Once Ca… | 1-0 |
| Sep 07 | Envigado v Rionegr… | 1-1 |
| Sep 03 | Envigado v Millona… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Envigado v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 26, 2025 | Envigado | 2-1 | Union Magdale… |
Key Factors
Union Magdalena struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.