AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Jul 20, 2025

Malacateco FC

Home
VS
02:00

Xelajú

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Malacateco FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Xelajú Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.53 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Xelajú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Malacateco FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 2-1
May 01 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
Apr 27 Malacatec… vs Marquense 2-0
Apr 17 Malacatec… vs Mixco 2-1
Apr 10 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 1-1
Mar 29 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 2-0
Mar 07 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 4-1
Mar 02 Malacatec… vs Marquense 1-0
Feb 12 Malacatec… vs Mixco 2-1
Feb 06 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 2-3
Xelajú Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Xelajú vs Marquense 1-0
Apr 18 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 3-2
Mar 29 Xelajú vs Municipal 1-0
Mar 09 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 1-0
Mar 06 Xelajú vs Achuapa 0-3
Feb 28 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 2-1
Feb 17 Xelajú vs Marquense 0-0
Jan 27 Xelajú vs Municipal 1-1
Jan 24 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 5-1
Jan 19 Xelajú vs Achuapa 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Malacateco FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Xelajú struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Malacateco FC Power 0
Xelajú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Malacateco FC Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Xelajú Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.