AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Aug 10, 2025

Achuapa

Home
VS
20:00

Aurora

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Achuapa Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Aurora Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.18 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Achuapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Achuapa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Achuapa vs Antigua G… 2-0
Jul 27 Achuapa vs Marquense 0-0
Jul 20 Achuapa vs Municipal 2-2
Apr 16 Achuapa vs Marquense 1-0
Apr 12 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 1-0
Apr 09 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-2
Apr 05 Achuapa vs Mixco 1-0
Mar 29 Achuapa vs Malacatec… 2-0
Mar 09 Achuapa vs Municipal 2-1
Mar 06 Achuapa vs XelajĂş 0-3
Aurora Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Aurora vs Marquense 1-1
Jul 26 Aurora vs Municipal 2-1
Jul 20 Aurora vs Guastatoya 1-0
May 25 Aurora vs Mictlán 2-2
May 17 Aurora vs Mictlán 2-0
Mar 23 Aurora vs Mictlán 1-0
Feb 12 Aurora vs Mictlán 0-1
Nov 24 Aurora vs Mictlán 2-0
Nov 17 Aurora vs Mictlán 4-3
Oct 12 Aurora vs Mictlán 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Achuapa Power 0
Aurora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Achuapa Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Aurora Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.