AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Sep 07, 2025

Aurora

Home
VS
17:00

Malacateco FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Aurora Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Malacateco FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 4.50 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Aurora Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Aurora vs Comunicac… 0-2
Aug 24 Aurora vs Cobán Imp… 1-1
Aug 16 Aurora vs Antigua G… 3-2
Aug 10 Aurora vs Achuapa 1-2
Aug 03 Aurora vs Marquense 1-1
Jul 26 Aurora vs Municipal 2-1
Jul 20 Aurora vs Guastatoya 1-0
May 25 Aurora vs Mictlán 2-2
May 17 Aurora vs Mictlán 2-0
Mar 23 Aurora vs Mictlán 1-0
Malacateco FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 2-0
Aug 25 Malacatec… vs Marquense 4-1
Aug 16 Malacatec… vs Municipal 2-3
Aug 09 Malacatec… vs Guastatoya 1-2
Aug 02 Malacatec… vs Mixco 1-2
Jul 27 Malacatec… vs Mictlán 2-2
Jul 20 Malacatec… vs Xelajú 0-1
May 03 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 2-1
May 01 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
Apr 27 Malacatec… vs Marquense 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aurora in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Malacateco FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aurora Power 0
Malacateco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Aurora Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Malacateco FC Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.