AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Sep 29, 2025

Xelajú

Home
VS
02:00

Malacateco FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Xelajú Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Malacateco FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.50 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Xelajú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Xelajú Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Xelajú vs Sporting … 2-0
Sep 20 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 3-0
Sep 16 Xelajú vs Cobán Imp… 2-1
Sep 14 Xelajú vs Aurora 2-2
Sep 07 Xelajú vs Achuapa 4-1
Sep 01 Xelajú vs Marquense 3-1
Aug 28 Xelajú vs CD Olimpia 3-0
Aug 24 Xelajú vs Municipal 1-1
Aug 18 Xelajú vs Guastatoya 5-0
Aug 15 Xelajú vs Real Este… 4-1
Malacateco FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 3-1
Sep 17 Malacatec… vs Comunicac… 1-0
Sep 13 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 3-0
Sep 07 Malacatec… vs Aurora 1-0
Aug 31 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 2-0
Aug 25 Malacatec… vs Marquense 4-1
Aug 16 Malacatec… vs Municipal 2-3
Aug 09 Malacatec… vs Guastatoya 1-2
Aug 02 Malacatec… vs Mixco 1-2
Jul 27 Malacatec… vs Mictlán 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Malacateco FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2025 Malacateco FC 0 - 1 Xelajú Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Xelajú Power 0
Malacateco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Xelajú Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Malacateco FC Position

Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.