AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 17, 2025

Patriotas Boyacá

Home
VS
19:00

Barranquilla

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Patriotas Boyacá Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Barranquilla Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.18 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Patriotas Boyacá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Barranquilla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Patriotas Boyacá Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Patriotas… vs Real Soac… 0-0
Jan 31 Patriotas… vs Cúcuta De… 2-0
Nov 15 Patriotas… vs Deportivo… 3-2
Nov 10 Patriotas… vs Deportes … 2-1
Apr 25 Patriotas… vs Bucaraman… 0-3
Apr 11 Patriotas… vs Bucaraman… 3-0
Nov 29 Patriotas… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Nov 23 Patriotas… vs Fortaleza… 3-1
Sep 04 Patriotas… vs Barranqui… 2-0
Aug 24 Patriotas… vs Popayan 0-0
Barranquilla Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Barranqui… vs Real Sant… 1-2
Feb 01 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 1-2
Oct 22 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 1-1
Oct 17 Barranqui… vs Bogota FC 4-2
Oct 10 Barranqui… vs Leones FC 1-2
May 11 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 4-0
Nov 11 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 0-0
Oct 18 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 2-1
Sep 19 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 3-1
Sep 04 Barranqui… vs Patriotas… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barranquilla in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 04, 2023 Patriotas Boyacá 2 - 0 Barranquilla Primera B
Mar 20, 2023 Barranquilla 1 - 2 Patriotas Boyacá Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Patriotas Boyacá Power 0
Barranquilla Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Patriotas Boyacá Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Barranquilla Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.