AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Apr 14, 2025

Tigres FC

Home
VS
21:00

Popayan

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Tigres FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Popayan Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.71 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Popayan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Tigres FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Tigres FC vs Real Soac… 1-1
Mar 30 Tigres FC vs Bogota FC 2-1
Mar 23 Tigres FC vs Cúcuta De… 2-0
Mar 18 Tigres FC vs Real Cart… 0-0
Mar 09 Tigres FC vs Jaguares 1-0
Mar 03 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 1-1
Feb 22 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 1-1
Feb 15 Tigres FC vs Huila 1-1
Feb 10 Tigres FC vs Depor FC 1-0
Feb 01 Tigres FC vs Real Sant… 1-0
Popayan Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Popayan vs Huila 1-2
Mar 29 Popayan vs Depor FC 1-0
Mar 22 Popayan vs Real Sant… 0-1
Mar 17 Popayan vs Real Soac… 1-0
Mar 07 Popayan vs Cúcuta De… 0-1
Mar 02 Popayan vs Real Cart… 3-2
Feb 21 Popayan vs Patriotas… 1-2
Feb 16 Popayan vs Internaci… 1-0
Feb 10 Popayan vs Quindio 4-0
Feb 03 Popayan vs Leones FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Popayan struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 15, 2024 Tigres FC 0 - 0 Popayan Primera B
Apr 13, 2024 Popayan 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 16, 2023 Tigres FC 0 - 1 Popayan Primera B
Apr 08, 2023 Popayan 1 - 2 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 18, 2022 Tigres FC 3 - 2 Popayan Primera B
Mar 26, 2022 Popayan 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 28, 2021 Popayan 1 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Feb 28, 2021 Tigres FC 1 - 1 Popayan Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres FC to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres FC Power 0
Popayan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres FC Position

+8

Position Gap

15

Popayan Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.