AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Apr 29, 2025

Patriotas Boyacá

Home
VS
00:00

Tigres FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Patriotas Boyacá Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Tigres FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.78 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Patriotas Boyacá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Tigres FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Patriotas Boyacá Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Patriotas… vs Real Sant… 1-1
Apr 17 Patriotas… vs Real Cart… 1-3
Apr 11 Patriotas… vs Leones FC 3-1
Mar 29 Patriotas… vs Real Soac… 0-1
Mar 24 Patriotas… vs Bogota FC 0-2
Mar 17 Patriotas… vs Internaci… 2-0
Mar 09 Patriotas… vs Quindio 0-1
Feb 27 Patriotas… vs Orsomarso 0-0
Feb 21 Patriotas… vs Popayan 1-2
Feb 17 Patriotas… vs Barranqui… 1-0
Tigres FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Tigres FC vs Internaci… 1-2
Apr 14 Tigres FC vs Popayan 2-0
Apr 09 Tigres FC vs Real Soac… 1-1
Mar 30 Tigres FC vs Bogota FC 2-1
Mar 23 Tigres FC vs Cúcuta De… 2-0
Mar 18 Tigres FC vs Real Cart… 0-0
Mar 09 Tigres FC vs Jaguares 1-0
Mar 03 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 1-1
Feb 22 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 1-1
Feb 15 Tigres FC vs Huila 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Patriotas Boyacá in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tigres FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Patriotas Boyacá Power 0
Tigres FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Patriotas Boyacá Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Tigres FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.